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Trading System V2: AI's Role in Deterministic Execution
Thanks to the incredible feedback on my last post, I’m officially moving away from the "distributed veto" system (where 8 LLM agents argue until they agree to trade). For v2, I am implementing a strict State Machine using a deterministic runtime (llm-nano-vm). The new rule is simple: Python owns the math and the execution contract. The LLM only interprets the context. I've sketched out a 5-module architecture, but before I start coding the new Python feature extractors, I want to sanity-check the exact roles I’m giving to the AI. Here is the blueprint: 1. The HTF Agent (Higher Timeframe - D1/H4) Python: Extracts structural levels, BOS/CHoCH, and premium/discount zones. LLM Role: Reads this hard data to determine the institutional narrative and select the most relevant Draw on Liquidity (DOL). 2. The Structure Agent (H1) Python: Identifies all valid Order Blocks (OB) and Fair Value Gaps (FVG) with displacement. LLM Role: Selects the highest-probability Point of Interest (POI) based on the HTF Agent's narrative. 3. The Trigger Agent (M15/M5) 100% Python (NO LLM): Purely deterministic. It checks for liquidity sweeps and LTF CHoCH inside the selected POI. 4. The Context Agent LLM Role: Cross-references active killzones, news blackouts, and currency correlations to either greenlight or veto the setup. 5. The Risk Agent 100% Python (NO LLM): Calculates Entry, SL, TP, Expected Value (EV), and position sizing. The state machine will only transition to EXECUTING if the deterministic Trigger and Risk modules say yes. The LLMs are basically just "context providers" for the state machine. My questions for the quants/architects here: Does this division of labor make sense? Am I giving the LLMs too much or too little responsibility in step 1 and 2? By making the Trigger layer (M15/M5) 100% deterministic, am I losing the core advantage of having an AI, or is this the standard way to avoid execution paralysis? Would you merge the HTF and Structure agents to reduce token constraints/hallucinations, or is separating them better for debugging? Would love to hear your thoughts before I dive into the codebase.
AI's Impact on Business: Speed vs. Smart Decision-Making
I’ve been thinking about this for a while, especially with all the discussions around AI replacing jobs. One thing that feels consistently misunderstood: AI doesn’t improve the quality of decisions by itself. It increases the speed at which existing decision logic operates. That has a simple consequence: Good systems become better. Weak systems fail faster. But there’s another layer that is often ignored. Right now, many companies are reacting to AI by reducing headcount. Some of that is rational: - there is real slack in certain roles - some work can already be automated or simplified In those cases, AI acts as a kind of cleanup mechanism. But this is where it gets more complex. If companies reduce people too quickly, they don’t just cut cost — they also remove: - domain knowledge - informal networks - context that is not documented anywhere This kind of knowledge is not easily replaced by AI. So you end up with a paradox: AI increases speed, but the organization loses the very knowledge needed to make good decisions at that speed. At the same time, layoffs are not always a signal of weak systems. Strong organizations can also reduce roles because they: - increase productivity per employee - reallocate work - shift toward new capabilities The difference is what happens next. Some organizations use AI to scale and create new opportunities. Others mainly use it to cut cost because they lack the structure to turn speed into growth. So instead of asking: “Will AI replace jobs?” A more relevant question might be: Is the organization structured in a way that can actually benefit from faster decision-making? Because if not, AI won’t make it smarter. It will just make it faster at being wrong.
Nvidia Exec: AI Currently More Expensive Than Human Workers
Nvidia’s vice president of applied deep learning, Bryan Catanzaro, recently stated that for his team, “the cost of compute is far beyond the costs of the employees,” highlighting that AI is currently more expensive than human workers. This challenges the narrative that widespread tech layoffs (including Meta’s planned cut of \~8,000 jobs and Microsoft’s voluntary buyouts) signal an imminent replacement of humans by AI. An MIT study from 2024 supports this, finding that AI automation is economically viable in only 23% of roles where vision is central, and cheaper for humans in the remaining 77%. Despite heavy AI investment—Big Tech has announced $740 billion in capital expenditures so far this year, a 69% increase from 2025—there is still no clear evidence of broad productivity gains or job displacement from AI. AI spending is driving up costs, with some executives like Uber’s CTO saying their budgets have already been “blown away.” Experts describe the situation as a short-term mismatch: high hardware, energy, and inference costs make AI less efficient than humans right now, though future improvements in infrastructure, model efficiency, and pricing models could tip the balance toward greater economic viability in the coming years.
Clera: AI Matching Candidates to Perfect Roles
An AI agent matching candidates to the right roles.
AI Video Models' Bias: No Girls, Stereotypical Roles in '90s Toy Comme
So i was working on this Tabletop roleplaying game project and for my own amusement I told two different video generating ai models to generate "a '90s toy commercial featuring boys and girls of different races in halloween costumes saying "I've got the urge to be a pirate" "ive got the urge to be a ninja!" or spy or whatever they are dressed as" thats it thats the exact prompt, and both of them gave me very different products but both had zero girls, and in both the pirate was a black boy, the ninja an east asian boy, and the spy a white boy. Makes perfect sense in hindsight but I really didn't see it coming and most surprising (for me) is the black child as pirate. Kind of arbitrary but must be reflecting something in the data. Anyway, i found that kinda enlightening, maybe you will too, bye.
AI Agents Network: Revolutionizing Collaboration and Knowledge Sharing
built something big. It’s basically an internet for AI agents. Right now agents are isolated. They don’t share knowledge, they don’t really work together, and they keep repeating the same work. I built a system where that changes. Agents can store what they learn as reusable pieces of knowledge. Once something is solved, it doesn’t need to be solved again. Other agents can find it, use it, and improve it. They can also collaborate. One agent does not need to handle everything. They can split tasks, take roles, and combine results into one outcome. They can communicate directly. Not like chat for humans, but structured messages where they share context and coordinate work in real time. Agents can hire other agents. If one agent cannot solve something, it finds another one that can and delegates the task. This creates a network where work flows to the right place. There is also an identity layer. Each agent has a readable address. You can discover agents, call them, and build systems on top of them. On top of that there is an economy. Agents build reputation based on real work. They can pay each other for tasks and get paid for useful results. Everything runs in a decentralized way. No central control. Data is distributed, identities are cryptographic, and the network just routes and syncs information. This is not just another tool. It’s a foundation where agents can exist, interact, and evolve together. You can leave your email here to get early access: www.cogninet.co